Page 5 - 2026 China Market Report
P. 5

CHINA





                                                                and will see a big full-year capacity
                                                                jump from approximately 4,300 more
                                                                berths in 2027.
                                                                  It’s a slow growth, and a far cry
                                                                from the ships, existing brands and
                                                                new brands that were introduced to the
                                                                market in 2015.
                                                                  Royal Caribbean and MSC, the only
                                                                western brands with a significant foot-
                                                                print in the market, continue to each
                                                                have one ship in China. Previously an-
                                                                nounced plans for second vessels have
                                                                been abandoned for now.
                                                                Unique Business
                                                                  China’s cruise market operates much
                                                                differently than the mature cruise mar-
                                                                kets and emerging markets elsewhere.
                                                                  The vast majority of cruises are short,
                                                                three to five nights, and the booking win-
                                                                dow is measured in weeks or a couple of
                                                                months, as opposed to the eight months
                                                                or longer booking window the cruise
                                                                lines have grown accustomed to else-
                                                                where. A booking window that short
                                                                means there is inherent risk.
                                                                  Meanwhile, travel agents and distrib-
                                                                utors still control the majority of cruise
                                                                inventory. The cruise lines have adjusted
                                                                this model slowly over the years and
                                                                gotten away from full-ship charters and
                                                                huge block bookings from a handful of
                                                                agents, which led to problems in the
                                                                past. Nevertheless, the short booking
                                                                window combined with a large reliance
                                                                on travel agents can lead to pricing chal-
                                                                lenges.
                                                                  These tour operators often bundle
                                                                transportation to and from the ship and
                                                                manage shore excursions. The latter can
                                                                vary wildly in quality and can have an
                                                                impact on the guest experience.
                                                                  Onboard revenue is also said to be
                                                                limited with less reliance on beverages
                                    eading into 2026, capacity   and onboard gaming.
                                Hgrowth in China is limited with
                              a handful of more sailings from MSC.  Pandemic and Restart
                              Other operators are limited in their own   A wild 2014 to 2020 in China saw
                              growth.                           the market starting to stabilize supply
                                Potential market entrants include the   and demand in 2019. Ships left, and the
                              Star and Dream brands which homeport   situation was said to be getting better.
                              elsewhere in Asia, but no deployment   Up next was January 2020, as the
                              decisions had been made as of press time   market was the first to shut down for
                              for this report in early October 2025.  the cruise industry, and ended up being
                                Adora, the country’s leading cruise   the last to restart in late 2023.
                              brand by capacity, gets its second new-  2024 saw the market come back to
                              build and third ship to close out 2026,   some form of normalcy, as most  




                                                                 Cruise Industry News: 2026 China Market Report              7
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